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Reading: Nancy Guthrie case: Retired lieutenant suggests Mexico ties were downplayed to keep feds off case early
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Nancy Guthrie case: Retired lieutenant suggests Mexico ties were downplayed to keep feds off case early

Last updated: May 8, 2026 4:44 pm
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Nancy Guthrie case: Retired lieutenant suggests Mexico ties were downplayed to keep feds off case early
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Just a couple of miles from home in Tucson is a desert “wash,” a natural drainage ditch, thick with brush so dense that one can barely see the surrounding homes, many of which cost seven figures.

That terrain is typical of the region — carved through the city and the rest of Pima County. Outside town, the desert stretches for miles in every direction.

That expanse is one of the challenges facing investigators trying to locate Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of “Today” co-host , said Dave Smith, a retired lieutenant with the Arizona Department of Public Safety and a law enforcement consultant.

“The whole Tucson Valley is literally built around these arroyos, these ephemeral rivers,” he said. “This is literally your green belt here, only instead of parks and things like the rest of the nation has, we have this wonderful desert area. But again, it works between houses. It’s like a giant alley through the neighborhoods.”

They can make good hiding places, but evidence also washes away quickly in the rain, he said.

“The evidence is transitory,” he told Fox News Digital. “Once it rains, your footprints go away, the sun is hard on other forms of evidence and frankly this is a tough place to investigate crimes.”

However, he said, he believes the missing woman was taken farther away.

The suspect, who appeared on surveillance camera, appeared to be wearing his holstered pistol “Mexican carry” style, Smith said.

“My first thought is always Mexico in a major crime, because it’s a great haven, and it’s hard for us to follow up on,” Smith told Fox News Digital. “But in this case obviously there was . And I think that that’s why we need to wonder, perhaps, was she taken to Mexico?”

and FBI Director Kash Patel have traded barbs over the timing of when the bureau was asked to assist in the case. Federal authorities have said it was days before they were brought in, and before they arrived, the crime scene had been briefly released, allowing journalists and delivery drivers to walk up on the front porch, where there was a trail of blood spatter.

“My personal theory is, if Mexico was suspected, that would make it a federal investigation,” Smith said. “There seemed to be a great deal of effort to keep the feds out of this case. And the best way to do it was to deny any possibility of interstate or international transport of the person’s body or kidnapped.”

It’s only about 60 miles from Guthrie’s neighborhood to the border town of Nogales, he said.

“You cross that border, on the Arizona side, it’s a small town, relatively small town,” he said. “You cross that border, it’s major urban area, 300,000 people.”

That could make it easier to blend in, he added.

No suspects have been publicly identified since on Feb. 1. Two men were briefly detained and later released in connection with the investigation. No charges have been filed and Guthrie’s whereabouts remain unknown.

In February, Nanos said the investigation hadn’t developed any firm evidence to indicate Guthrie was taken over the border.

Days later, Fox News Digital reported that the FBI had contacted Mexican authorities in connection with the search for Guthrie.

Patel said on Fox News’ Sean Hannity’s podcast “Hang Out with Sean Hannity” that the FBI wasn’t asked to help for days.

WATCH: Nancy Guthrie’s Nest doorbell cam records masked suspect

“What we, the FBI, do is say, Hey, we’re here to help. What do you need?” he said. “What can we do? And for four days, we were kept out of the investigation.”

Within days, the FBI teamed up with Google to recover video that showed a — despite the fact that her Nest doorbell was unaccounted for and she didn’t have a cloud subscription to store images.

However, tensions quickly emerged between the feds and the sheriff’s department over how to handle physical evidence, including DNA recovere

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